Ipswich vs Fulham Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Portman Road hosts an important early-season Premier League clash on 10 October 2026 as Ipswich welcome Fulham in a meeting that already has the feel of a six-pointer in the bottom half. With both sides leaking goals and still searching for consistency, this fixture could be pivotal in shaping their campaigns.

Ipswich come into Matchday 6 in 11th place with 6 points from 5 games, having won two and lost three. Their return to the top flight has been turbulent but encouraging in attack, with 7 goals scored and a clear attacking identity emerging. Fulham, by contrast, are stuck in 19th with just 2 points and no wins so far, scoring 5 and conceding 8. For Marco Silva’s men, this trip to Suffolk is less about performance and more about finally putting a first victory on the board.

Recent meetings between Ipswich and Fulham have often been tight in the league but more one-sided in the cups, and that mixed head-to-head record adds intrigue. With both teams showing defensive frailties and relying on key creators and wide threats, this looks like a finely balanced contest where small margins and discipline could decide the outcome.

Ipswich vs Fulham Key Stats

• Ipswich sit 11th with 6 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 11 in the Premier League.
• The last two Premier League meetings (2024) both ended in draws: 2-2 at Craven Cottage on 05 January 2025 and 1-1 at Portman Road on 31 August 2024.
• Across 5 league games this season, Ipswich average 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match, while Fulham average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Ipswich vs Fulham — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 11 vs 19
• Points: 6 vs 2
• Goals For: 7 vs 5
• Goals Against: 11 vs 8
• Clean Sheets: Ipswich 0, Fulham 1 (tournament statistics)

The league table underlines the contrasting starts. Ipswich, 11th, have already picked up two wins from five and are comfortably above the early relegation scrap. Their goal difference of -4 (7 scored, 11 conceded) shows both their attacking promise and defensive vulnerability. Fulham’s situation is more precarious: 19th, with just 2 points, no wins and a goal difference of -3 (5 for, 8 against). They have at least shown some resilience away from home, conceding only 1 goal in 2 away fixtures.

At Portman Road, Ipswich have split their two home games (1 win, 1 loss) with a 2–3 goals for/against record, while Fulham’s away record reads 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat with 0 goals scored and 1 conceded. That combination suggests Ipswich will see this as a must-win home game against a side that has yet to score on the road, but Fulham’s relative defensive solidity away could make this tighter than the raw table suggests.

Ipswich vs Fulham Key Matchups

Emersonn vs T. Castagne

Emersonn has been one of Ipswich’s standout performers in attack. In 5 Premier League appearances (all starts), the 21-year-old attacker has 2 goals and 1 assist in 321 minutes, averaging a goal contribution roughly every 107 minutes. He has taken 8 shots with 4 on target, created 4 key passes and completed 3 of 5 dribbles, underlining his dual threat as both finisher and creator.

He will often find himself operating in areas patrolled by Timothy Castagne. The Fulham full-back has started all 5 league matches, playing 410 minutes, and while he has yet to score, he has chipped in with 1 assist, 4 key passes and 4 interceptions, plus 6 tackles and 2 blocks. Castagne’s 210 passes at 79% accuracy show his importance in build-up, but he has also committed 9 fouls and collected 2 yellow cards. Containing Emersonn’s direct running and movement without picking up further cards will be a major test for the Belgian.

J. Enciso vs A. Fatawu

Within Ipswich’s own structure, the balance between creativity and discipline is epitomised by Julio César Enciso and Issahaku Abdul Fatawu. Enciso, a key playmaker, has 2 assists in 5 starts, with 122 completed passes at an impressive 84% accuracy and 6 key passes. He is also a high-volume shooter (14 shots, 4 on target) and a persistent dribbler (21 attempts, 7 successful), constantly looking to unlock defences between the lines.

Fatawu offers width and work rate but must manage his aggression. In 5 appearances (357 minutes), he has 1 assist and 8 key passes from 74 passes at 70% accuracy, plus 9 tackles and 5 interceptions. However, he has already committed 10 fouls and picked up 3 yellow cards and 1 red card. His ability to press Fulham’s build-up and drive forward is crucial, but another ill-timed challenge could leave Ipswich exposed. How Kieran McKenna balances Fatawu’s intensity with the need for control could shape the rhythm of the game.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

This fixture has a rich recent history across league and cup competitions, with Fulham generally enjoying the upper hand but Ipswich proving stubborn in Premier League clashes. Recent encounters have produced goals and momentum swings, particularly at Portman Road.

• 05 January 2025: Fulham 2-2 Ipswich (Premier League)
• 31 August 2024: Ipswich 1-1 Fulham (Premier League)
• 01 November 2023: Ipswich 1-3 Fulham (League Cup)
• 16 September 2020: Ipswich 0-1 Fulham (League Cup)
• 02 January 2018: Fulham 4-1 Ipswich (Championship)

Ipswich vs Fulham Prediction

Stats suggest a finely balanced encounter. The prediction model gives Ipswich a 35% chance of winning, the draw also 35%, and Fulham a 30% chance. Ipswich’s recent form is slightly stronger and they hold home advantage, but Fulham’s defensive numbers away from home (just 1 goal conceded in 2 matches) and their historical edge in this matchup cannot be ignored.

Ipswich’s attack, led by Emersonn, Enciso and the goal-scoring threat of Leif Davis from deep, has been more productive than Fulham’s, with 7 goals to 5 and a higher attacking index in recent games. However, their defence is fragile, conceding 2.2 goals per match on average and often vulnerable early and late in halves. Fulham’s problem is the opposite: they have struggled to turn decent phases of play into goals, especially away where they have yet to score this season.

Given the prediction split and the odds market, this looks like a game where Ipswich are marginally favoured not to lose rather than clear home bankers. Fulham should be competitive and capable of nicking something if Ipswich’s defensive issues resurface, but the hosts’ extra firepower and Portman Road backing tilt this slightly their way.

Predicted Score: Ipswich 1-1 Fulham

Ipswich Recent Form

Ipswich’s recent Premier League form reads LWLLW. That sequence underlines their inconsistency: two wins but three defeats from five. They have scored in 4 of those 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals per game, but have conceded in every outing, with 11 goals shipped in total. At home, they have one win and one loss, with a 2–3 goals record, reflecting both promise and vulnerability.

Fulham Recent Form

Fulham’s recent form is LLLDD, a worrying run featuring three straight defeats followed by two draws. They have yet to win in five matches, though they have tightened up defensively in the most recent games. Fulham average 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per match, and notably have failed to score in both away fixtures so far, even if they have only conceded once on the road.

Ipswich Possible Starting Lineup

GK: A. Palmer or C. Walton; Defenders: L. Davis, I. Diop, C. Kipré, D. Furlong; Midfielders: S. Lukić, A. Matusiwa, J. Enciso, A. Fatawu, Z. Flemming; Forwards: Emersonn or C. Akpom.

Ipswich have consistently used a 4-2-3-1 shape in the Premier League, and the squad composition backs that up. Leif Davis offers attacking thrust from left-back, while S. Lukić and A. Matusiwa provide control and defensive balance in midfield. Enciso and Fatawu bring creativity and dribbling from advanced roles, supporting a central striker such as Emersonn or C. Akpom. With multiple goal threats from wide and midfield, Ipswich are set up to dominate possession at home, but the lack of clean sheets and Fatawu’s disciplinary record mean they must manage transitions carefully.

Fulham Possible Starting Lineup

GK: B. Leno; Defenders: T. Castagne, J. Andersen, C. Bassey, A. Robinson; Midfielders: S. Berge, H. Reed, A. Iwobi, Oscar Bobb, E. Smith Rowe; Forwards: Rodrigo Muniz.

Fulham also favour a 4-2-3-1 system, with a strong defensive core in Leno, Andersen and Bassey, plus the energetic full-back play of Castagne and Robinson. In midfield, the likes of S. Berge and H. Reed can screen the defence, while creative options such as A. Iwobi, Oscar Bobb and E. Smith Rowe provide technical quality between the lines. Rodrigo Muniz offers a focal point up front. The structure is sound, but turning possession into clear chances and finally breaking their away scoring drought will be the main tactical challenge.

Ipswich Team News

No significant absences reported.

Fulham Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Ipswich:

• None reported.

Fulham:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Ipswich vs Fulham

Exactly 3 distinct markets are highlighted below, using current form, key stats and available odds.

• Result Tip: Ipswich or Draw (Double Chance). The prediction model gives Ipswich a 35% win probability and the draw 35%, versus 30% for Fulham. Ipswich have 2 wins from 5 and home advantage, while Fulham are winless. Market odds on Fulham as a marginal favourite (away prices generally around 2.33–2.55, implying roughly 39–43% chance) look slightly at odds with the underlying form, so siding with Ipswich not to lose offers a pragmatic angle.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 Total Goals. Ipswich’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals only once in five league games, and Fulham’s under 2.5 line has landed in all five, with only 5 goals scored and 8 conceded overall. Fulham have yet to score away and have conceded just 1 goal on the road. That profile points towards a relatively low-scoring contest, making a conservative unders angle attractive.
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score – No (Small Stake). Fulham have failed to score in both away games, and Ipswich have one failed-to-score in five but can be stifled by organised defences. With Fulham’s away matches averaging just 0.5 goals conceded and 0 scored, a scenario where one side blanks – most likely Fulham – is realistic. Given the market slightly overestimates Fulham’s attacking threat based on their overall odds, BTTS-No could offer value at plus-money territory where available.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.