Hull City vs Everton Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Hull City welcome Everton to the MKM Stadium on 11 October 2026 in a Premier League clash between two sides making solid starts to the campaign. With both teams unbeaten in their last three league outings, this looks like a tight, tactical contest rather than a mismatch.

After five matches, Hull City sit 8th with 8 points, having lost just once and boasting a positive goal difference. Everton are one place and one point better off in 7th with 9 points and remain unbeaten so far. Early-season momentum, top-half ambitions and the chance to keep pace with the leading pack give this fixture plenty of edge for both clubs.

Stats suggest a low-scoring game between two organised defences. Everton bring slightly better recent form and historical dominance in this matchup, but Hull’s strong home record and compact 5-4-1 structure make this a genuine test for the visitors.

Hull City vs Everton Key Stats

• Hull City have taken 8 points from their first 5 Premier League matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat), conceding only 4 goals.
• Everton have not lost any of their last 5 league games against Hull City, including a 3-2 extra-time win in the FA Cup on 8 January 2022.
• Both teams have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 Premier League matches this season, underlining their defensive solidity.

Hull City vs Everton — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 8 vs 7
• Points: 8 vs 9
• Goals For: 6 vs 6
• Goals Against: 4 vs 3
• Clean Sheets: Hull City 3; Everton 3

In the early Premier League standings, there is very little to separate these two. Hull City’s 6 goals from 5 games (1.2 per match) are matched exactly by Everton’s 6 from 5, but the visitors have been marginally tighter at the back, conceding 3 compared to Hull’s 4. Both sides have produced three clean sheets in their first five outings, an impressive defensive return at this stage.

Hull have been strong at home, taking 4 points from 2 matches without conceding a goal at the MKM Stadium. Everton, meanwhile, are unbeaten away with 2 draws from 2, scoring and conceding just once on their travels. The numbers point to a finely balanced contest where small margins in both boxes are likely to decide the outcome.

Hull City vs Everton Key Matchups

M. Belloumi vs J. Garner

Mohamed Elbachir Belloumi has been Hull City’s standout attacking threat so far. Across 5 appearances (all starts), he has produced 2 goals and 2 assists, directly contributing to two-thirds of Hull’s 6 league goals. His 13 shots, with 5 on target, show he is a high-volume shooter, while 5 key passes and 78 total passes at 71% accuracy underline his creative role between the lines.

James Garner is emerging as a key figure in Everton’s midfield structure. In 5 appearances (4 starts, 330 minutes), he has yet to register a goal or assist but offers control and defensive balance: 189 completed passes with an excellent 90% accuracy, plus 11 tackles, 3 blocks and 3 interceptions. His 2 yellow cards also indicate he is heavily involved in breaking up play.

The battle between Belloumi’s attacking instincts and Garner’s positional discipline will be central. If Belloumi can find pockets of space and get shots off, Hull will carry real threat. If Garner can close those spaces and dictate possession, Everton’s grip on midfield will grow stronger.

O. McBurnie vs Everton centre-backs

Oliver McBurnie may not have scored yet this season, but his profile is crucial to Hull’s approach. In 5 starts and 442 minutes, he has 10 shots (3 on target) and 1 assist, but his real value lies in physical presence: 90 duels contested with 43 won, plus 11 fouls drawn. He also has 3 yellow cards, reflecting his combative style.

Everton’s defensive unit, led by experienced centre-backs such as J. Tarkowski and M. Keane in the squad list, will have to cope with McBurnie’s aerial and physical threat. If Hull can use him as an effective target man, bringing midfield runners like Belloumi into play, they can unsettle an otherwise solid Everton back line that has conceded only 3 goals in 5 matches.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent history favours Everton, who have generally had the upper hand in this fixture across league and cup. The last meetings have often been competitive, but the Merseyside club have found ways to get results both home and away.

• 8 January 2022: Hull City 2-3 Everton (FA Cup)
• 18 March 2017: Everton 4-0 Hull City (Premier League)
• 30 December 2016: Hull City 2-2 Everton (Premier League)
• 1 January 2015: Hull City 2-0 Everton (Premier League)
• 3 December 2014: Everton 1-1 Hull City (Premier League)

Hull City vs Everton Prediction

All indicators point towards a tight, low-scoring encounter. Everton have a slight edge in recent form — unbeaten with a “WDDDW” run — and the prediction models give them and the draw equal top billing: 45% chance of an Everton win, 45% chance of a draw, and just 10% for a Hull victory. That aligns with the bookmakers, who make Everton clear favourites but still respect Hull’s home strength.

Hull’s defensive numbers at home (0 goals conceded in 2 league matches, 3 clean sheets overall) suggest Everton will have to work hard for clear chances. At the same time, Everton’s own defensive record — 3 goals conceded in 5 games and 3 clean sheets — and low-scoring away profile (1 goal scored, 1 conceded in 2 away matches) points strongly towards an under-goals scenario.

Given the strong probability assigned to “draw or Everton” and the under 3.5 goals angle, the most likely pattern is a cagey match with limited scoring opportunities. Everton’s slightly higher quality in midfield and historical dominance just about tip the balance their way, but Hull’s organisation and set-piece threat mean they are well capable of taking something.

Predicted Score: Hull City 1-1 Everton

Hull City Recent Form

Hull City’s recent form in the Premier League reads “LDDWW”, reflecting a team that has grown into the season. After an early defeat, they steadied with back-to-back draws before stringing together two consecutive wins. Across 5 matches they have scored 6 and conceded 4, with an impressive 3 clean sheets and only 1 failure to score. At home, they are unbeaten with 1 win, 1 draw and 0 goals conceded.

Everton Recent Form

Everton arrive in excellent shape, unbeaten in their opening 5 league matches with a “WDDDW” sequence. They have collected 2 wins and 3 draws, scoring 6 and conceding only 3. Their defence has been consistently strong, with 3 clean sheets and no defeats so far. Away from home they have drawn both fixtures, 1-1 on aggregate, underlining their solidity but also a lack of cutting edge on the road.

Hull City Possible Starting Lineup

Key players available for Hull City include:

GK: J. Butland or D. Phillips
Defenders: S. Ajayi, L. Coyle, J. Egan, R. Giles, M. Targett, B. Norton-Cuffy, P. McNair, C. Hughes
Midfielders: M. Crooks, K. Dowell, H. Morita, E. Matazo, A. Ömür, R. Slater, D. Gyabi, L. Gourna-Douath, Óscar Steven Zambrano Preciado
Forwards: M. Belloumi, O. McBurnie, J. Gelhardt, S. Thomas, M. Cho

Hull have largely favoured a 5-4-1 structure this season, with that formation used in all 5 league matches. That suggests a back five shielding the penalty area, with a lone striker — likely McBurnie — supported by creative midfielders such as Belloumi and Crooks. The depth in central midfield (Morita, Matazo, Ömür, Slater) allows for a hard-working, compact unit designed to frustrate opponents and spring quick counters or use wide service into the target man.

Everton Possible Starting Lineup

Key players available for Everton include:

GK: J. Pickford or T. King
Defenders: J. Tarkowski, M. Keane, J. Branthwaite, V. Mykolenko, A. Maitland-Niles, J. O’Brien
Midfielders: J. Garner, K. Dewsbury-Hall, J. Grealish, C. Nørgaard, C. Alcaraz, H. Hackney
Forwards: B. Johnson, T. Barry, T. Dibling, Tyrique George

Everton have alternated between 4-2-3-1 (used 4 times) and 4-1-4-1 (once), pointing to a back four with one or two holding midfielders and a line of three or four more advanced players. Garner’s passing and defensive work make him central to their build-up, while creative options like Dewsbury-Hall and Grealish in the squad list hint at a side capable of controlling possession. With a solid spine and flexibility between a double pivot and single holding midfielder, Everton are well set up to manage games away from home.

Hull City Team News

No significant absences reported.

Everton Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Hull City:

• None reported.

Everton:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Hull City vs Everton

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Everton Draw No Bet. With Everton given a 45% chance of victory and Hull only 10%, plus the visitors’ unbeaten “WDDDW” start, siding with Everton on a safety-first line makes sense. Market odds for an Everton win range from 2.00 to 2.10 (implied probability roughly 47.6% to 50%), shorter than Hull’s 3.22–3.82 (around 26.2%–31.1%), confirming Everton as favourites. Taking them Draw No Bet reduces risk in what could be a tight game.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 goals. Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per game and concede under 1 per match (Hull 0.8, Everton 0.6). Everton’s two away games have produced just 2 total goals, while Hull’s two home games have seen 2 goals combined. The prediction advice also leans to “-3.5 goals”, reinforcing a low-scoring outlook. Look for under 3.5 goals at a short but logical price in the totals market.
• Value Tip: M. Belloumi to score or assist. Belloumi has 2 goals and 2 assists in 5 appearances, directly involved in the majority of Hull’s attacking output. Given Hull’s reliance on him for both shooting (13 attempts) and creativity (5 key passes), any player performance market involving him — such as to score or to register a goal contribution — offers potential value, especially with Everton likely to allow limited but high-leverage chances.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.