Everton vs Ipswich Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Everton welcome Ipswich to Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool on 19 September 2026 for a Premier League clash that already feels important in shaping the mid-table picture. Both sides sit on 6 points after four matches, with Everton just ahead in 9th and Ipswich in 10th, making this a direct battle for early-season momentum.

The hosts remain unbeaten with one win and three draws, built on a tight defence and solid home form. Ipswich, by contrast, have been more volatile: two wins and two defeats, scoring freely but conceding heavily. With the betting markets strongly favouring an Everton victory but predictive metrics suggesting a much closer contest, this fixture offers an intriguing blend of tactical contrast and betting interest.

Everton vs Ipswich predictions will hinge on whether Everton’s defensive structure can contain Ipswich’s lively attack, led by Emersonn and Leif Davis, and whether Ipswich can finally record a clean sheet in the 2026 Premier League season.

Everton vs Ipswich Key Stats

• Everton are unbeaten in the 2026 Premier League so far, with 1 win and 3 draws from 4 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 3.
• The last two Premier League meetings saw Everton win 2-0 away on 19 October 2024 before drawing 2-2 at home on 3 May 2025.
• Everton have kept 2 clean sheets in 4 league matches this season, while Ipswich have yet to record a single clean sheet and have conceded 10 goals in 4 games.

Everton vs Ipswich — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 9 vs 10
• Points: 6 vs 6
• Goals For: 5 vs 7
• Goals Against: 3 vs 10
• Clean Sheets: Everton 2, Ipswich 0

After four Premier League fixtures in 2026, Everton and Ipswich are level on points but have reached 6 points via very different paths. Everton’s goal difference of +2 (5 scored, 3 conceded) reflects a balanced side that has yet to lose and has drawn three of four matches. Ipswich, with a -3 goal difference (7 scored, 10 conceded), have been far more open: capable of scoring multiple goals, but also vulnerable to heavy defeats.

Everton’s home record is encouraging: 1 win and 1 draw from 2 home games, with 4 goals scored and 2 conceded. Ipswich have split their away fixtures, winning one and losing one, scoring 5 but conceding 7. Over the small sample of four matches, Everton’s defensive numbers (0.8 goals conceded per game) look significantly stronger than Ipswich’s (2.5 conceded per game), while Ipswich’s attack (1.8 goals per game) is more prolific than Everton’s (1.3). It sets up a classic defence-versus-attack narrative.

Everton vs Ipswich Key Matchups

J. Garner vs Emersonn

James Garner has been a central figure for Everton in midfield, even if he has yet to contribute goals or assists. Across 4 appearances and 240 minutes, he has completed 128 passes at an impressive 90% accuracy, with 3 key passes, and contributed 11 tackles and 2 interceptions. His 2 yellow cards underline his combative role in breaking up play.

He will be up against Ipswich’s standout attacker Emersonn, who has 2 goals and 1 assist in 4 appearances, with a strong rating of 7.36. The Brazilian has taken 6 shots (3 on target), created 4 key passes and drawn 5 fouls, showing he is both a goal threat and a creative outlet. Garner’s ability to screen the back four and disrupt Emersonn’s influence between the lines could be decisive in limiting Ipswich’s attacking output.

A. Fatawu vs Everton’s back line

While not a direct one-on-one duel with a specific Everton player, Issahaku Abdul Fatawu’s battle against the Everton defence will be crucial. For Ipswich, Fatawu has 4 starts and 290 minutes, contributing 1 assist and 7 key passes. He is a major ball-carrier, with 18 dribble attempts and 10 successful, and has been heavily involved in duels (60 total, 28 won). His 2 yellow cards and 8 fouls committed show his intensity on both sides of the ball.

Everton’s defenders such as J. Tarkowski, J. Branthwaite and V. Mykolenko will need to manage Fatawu’s direct running and dribbling, particularly in wide areas. Given Ipswich’s tendency to score in the 16–30 and 76–90 minute windows, containing Fatawu late in each half could prevent the kind of late swings that Ipswich thrive on.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent meetings between Everton and Ipswich in the Premier League have been competitive, with Everton enjoying the better of the away fixture and a high-scoring draw at home.

• 3 May 2025: Everton 2-2 Ipswich (Premier League)
• 19 October 2024: Ipswich 0-2 Everton (Premier League)

Everton vs Ipswich Prediction

Stats suggest a finely balanced contest despite the betting markets strongly favouring Everton. The prediction model gives Everton a 45% chance of victory, the draw also at 45%, and Ipswich just 10%. That aligns with Everton’s unbeaten start and strong defensive metrics, especially at home, where they have conceded only 2 goals in 2 matches.

However, Ipswich’s attack is potent, averaging 1.8 goals per game and scoring in high bursts, particularly in the 16–30 and 76–90 minute periods. Their main issue is defensive fragility: 10 goals conceded in 4 games and no clean sheets. Everton, meanwhile, have been more conservative in front of goal but efficient late in matches, with a significant share of their goals coming in the final quarter of games.

Given Everton’s defensive solidity and Ipswich’s attacking threat, a tight, tactical match is likely. Everton should control territory and chances, but Ipswich have enough firepower to get on the scoresheet. With no reliable numerical goal prediction (the goals fields are thresholds rather than exact scores), the safest projection is a narrow home win in a relatively open game.

Predicted Score: Everton 2-1 Ipswich

Everton Recent Form

Everton’s recent Premier League form reads DDDW, reflecting three draws followed by a win. Across 4 matches they have 1 victory, 3 draws and no defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 3. At home they have been solid, with 1 win and 1 draw from 2 games, scoring 4 and conceding 2. Their defensive consistency and ability to avoid defeat are the defining features of their early-season form.

Ipswich Recent Form

Ipswich’s form is more erratic, with a sequence of WLLW. They have 2 wins and 2 defeats from 4 Premier League matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Away from home, they have 1 win and 1 loss, with 5 goals scored and 7 conceded. The pattern is of a high-variance side: capable of winning 3-2 away, but also susceptible to heavy defeats such as 5-2 on their travels.

Everton Possible Starting Lineup

GK: J. Pickford or T. King; Defenders: J. Tarkowski, J. Branthwaite, M. Keane, V. Mykolenko, A. Maitland-Niles; Midfielders: J. Garner, K. Dewsbury-Hall, C. Nørgaard, J. Grealish, M. Röhl; Forwards: T. Barry, T. Dibling, B. Graham.

Everton have consistently used a 4-2-3-1 structure across 4 matches, and the squad list supports that shape: a strong core of centre-backs (Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Keane), full-backs like Maitland-Niles and Mykolenko, and a deep midfield group including Garner, Dewsbury-Hall and Nørgaard. Creative options such as J. Grealish and young attackers like T. Barry and T. Dibling provide width and support for the lone striker. With no injury data available, Everton appear to have good depth to rotate without compromising their compact, defensively sound setup.

Ipswich Possible Starting Lineup

GK: A. Palmer or K. Scherpen; Defenders: L. Davis, I. Diop, C. Kipré, D. Furlong, D. O’Shea; Midfielders: S. Lukić, J. Enciso, A. Fatawu, Florentino, E. Palacios; Forwards: Emersonn, C. Akpom, D. Maeda, J. Philogene.

Ipswich have also favoured a 4-2-3-1 shape in all 4 league matches. The back line is likely to feature L. Davis at left-back, with Diop and Kipré or O’Shea in central defence and Furlong on the right. In midfield, Lukić, Florentino and Palacios offer control and work rate, while the attacking band of Enciso, Fatawu and Emersonn provides creativity and pace behind a central striker such as Akpom or Maeda. The attacking talent is clear, but the defensive unit will need to tighten up if Ipswich are to contain Everton away from home.

Everton Team News

No significant absences reported.

Ipswich Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Everton:

• None reported.

Ipswich:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Everton vs Ipswich

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles stand out based on current form, head-to-head data and the available odds.

• Result Tip: Everton to win. The prediction model gives Everton a 45% win chance, with the draw also at 45% and Ipswich just 10%. Everton are unbeaten and defensively solid, while Ipswich are conceding 2.5 goals per game. The market prices Everton between 1.73 and 1.82 across bookmakers, implying roughly a 54.9%–57.8% chance of a home win. That aligns with backing the hosts on the 1X2 market.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Ipswich matches average 4.3 total goals per game (7 for, 10 against), and Everton’s average is 2.0 (5 for, 3 against). Both recent head-to-heads landed at least 2 goals (2-0 and 2-2). The prediction advice also highlights a +1.5 goals angle. While specific over/under odds are not listed, combining both teams’ scoring and conceding trends strongly supports over 1.5 goals as a high-probability play.
• Value Tip: Everton to win & both teams to score (BTTS Yes) – speculative value. Ipswich’s attack, driven by Emersonn (2 goals, 1 assist) and supported by Enciso and Fatawu, is dangerous enough to breach Everton’s defence, while their own back line has yet to keep a clean sheet. With the away win priced as high as 4.67 and the draw between 3.37 and 3.98, the market is heavily tilted towards Everton. A combined bet on Everton to win with Ipswich still finding the net offers a higher return than the straight home win and is consistent with a predicted 2-1 type scoreline, though it comes with added risk.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.